tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hilton Head Island via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 09:00 ORD → 12:12 CLT
    AA 2530 · American · 2h 12m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 CLT → 14:16 HHH
    AA 3562 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 16m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hilton Head Island is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 16mORD 09:00 to HHH 14:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.