tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:44 SEA → 21:06 PHL
    AA 2534 · American · 5h 25m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:58 PHL → 00:15 ATL +1 day
    AA 443 · American · 2h 17m · 77% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 31mSEA 12:44 to ATL 00:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.