tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:15 TPA → 09:07 CLT
    AA 2538 · American · 1h 52m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 CLT → 12:09 BHM
    AA 4932 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 54mTPA 07:15 to BHM 12:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.