Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Philadelphia via Phoenix: arrives on time 43%
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18:55 SFO → 21:00 PHXAA 2544 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 02m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:02 PHX → 05:35 PHL +1 dayAA 1188 · American · 4h 33m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 40mSFO 18:55 to PHL 05:35, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.