Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Miami via Phoenix: arrives on time 38%
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18:55 SFO → 21:00 PHXAA 2544 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:00 PHX → 05:22 MIA +1 dayAA 2205 · American · 4h 22m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 27mSFO 18:55 to MIA 05:22, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.