Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:55 SFO → 21:00 PHX
    AA 2544 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PHX → 22:42 TUS
    AA 2635 · American · 47m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip3h 47mSFO 18:55 to TUS 22:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.