tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Anchorage via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 12:10 ORD → 14:40 PDX
    AA 2545 · American · 4h 30m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:50 PDX → 20:38 ANC
    AS 271 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 28mORD 12:10 to ANC 20:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.