tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 86%

  1. 12:10 ORD → 14:40 PDX
    AA 2545 · American · 4h 30m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:33 PDX → 19:23 OAK
    AS 2082 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip9h 13mORD 12:10 to OAK 19:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.