Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Tampa via Phoenix: arrives on time 28%
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12:18 SFO → 14:29 PHXAA 2548 · American · 2h 11m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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15:19 PHX → 22:25 TPAAA 1837 · American · 4h 06m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 07mSFO 12:18 to TPA 22:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.