Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Detroit via Phoenix: arrives on time 34%
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12:18 SFO → 14:29 PHXAA 2548 · American · 2h 11m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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15:28 PHX → 22:21 DTWAA 3140 · American · 3h 51m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 01mSFO 12:18 to DTW 22:21, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.