Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:04 ORD → 13:45 SFO
    AA 2550 · American · 4h 41m · 41% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:04 SFO → 17:45 LAX
    AA 6221 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 47% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip8h 41mORD 11:04 to LAX 17:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.