Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:08 SFO → 05:29 ORD
    AA 2554 · American · 4h 15m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 ORD → 11:44 MSY +1 day
    AA 4748 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 32mSFO 23:08 to MSY 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.