tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 11:47 SJC → 17:30 DFW
    AA 2572 · American · 3h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 DFW → 20:17 BNA
    AA 1076 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 30mSJC 11:47 to BNA 20:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.