tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Dulles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:47 SJC → 17:30 DFW
    AA 2572 · American · 3h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 DFW → 22:46 IAD
    AA 1132 · American · 3h 08m · 47% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip8h 05mSJC 11:47 to IAD 22:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.