tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:47 SJC → 17:30 DFW
    AA 2572 · American · 3h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 DFW → 22:59 EWR
    AA 2999 · American · 3h 40m · 55% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip8h 12mSJC 11:47 to EWR 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.