tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:02 CLT → 14:50 PHL
    AA 2573 · American · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 PHL → 17:29 ORD
    AA 470 · American · 2h 44m · 64% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 27mCLT 13:02 to ORD 17:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.