tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Harrisburg via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 13:02 CLT → 14:50 PHL
    AA 2573 · American · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 PHL → 18:57 MDT
    AA 5949 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 07m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 55mCLT 13:02 to MDT 18:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.