tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:50 PHL → 17:53 CLT
    AA 2573 · American · 2h 03m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:33 CLT → 22:51 MHT
    AA 5033 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 18m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 01mPHL 15:50 to MHT 22:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.