tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Juan → Denver via Miami: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:38 SJU → 19:34 MIA
    AA 2581 · American · 2h 55m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 MIA → 22:54 DEN
    AA 1737 · American · 4h 23m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind San Juan). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 15mSJU 16:38 to DEN 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.