tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:04 BNA → 09:20 DFW
    AA 2583 · American · 2h 19m · 83% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:49 DFW → 13:25 SMF
    AA 2078 · American · 3h 48m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 33mBNA 07:04 to SMF 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.