tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:04 BNA → 09:20 DFW
    AA 2583 · American · 2h 19m · 83% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 15mBNA 07:04 to PHX 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.