tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:52 SRQ → 14:16 DCA
    AA 2584 · American · 2h 24m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 DCA → 17:13 ORD
    AA 1637 · American · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 20mSRQ 11:52 to ORD 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.