tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:45 SNA → 14:08 ORD
    AA 2590 · American · 4h 23m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 ORD → 21:59 CLT
    AA 689 · American · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 14mSNA 07:45 to CLT 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.