tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Juan → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 00:59 SJU → 05:04 ORD
    AA 2592 · American · 5h 05m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 ORD → 11:41 PHL
    AA 471 · American · 2h 12m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 42mSJU 00:59 to PHL 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.