tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:42 SLC → 20:30 DFW
    AA 2594 · American · 2h 48m · 41% on time, 8.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:19 DFW → 22:37 XNA
    AA 3059 · American · 1h 18m · 52% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (8.8% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 55mSLC 16:42 to XNA 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.