tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:01 BUR → 12:19 DFW
    AA 2599 · American · 3h 18m · 92% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 DFW → 21:00 JFK
    AA 578 · American · 3h 47m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip10h 59mBUR 07:01 to JFK 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.