tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:50 RDU → 08:27 PHX
    AA 2601 · American · 4h 33m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHX → 11:59 LAS
    AA 2109 · American · 1h 18m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 08mRDU 06:50 to LAS 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.