tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:50 RDU → 08:27 PHX
    AA 2601 · American · 4h 33m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 PHX → 14:08 DFW
    AA 554 · American · 2h 38m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 18mRDU 06:50 to DFW 14:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.