tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 55%

  1. 05:16 RDU → 07:27 DFW
    AA 2605 · American · 3h 11m · 90% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DFW → 09:48 HOU
    AA 5071 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 23m · 67% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 32mRDU 05:16 to HOU 09:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.