tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 11:18 SLC → 15:06 DFW
    AA 2607 · American · 2h 48m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:52 DFW → 17:07 XNA
    AA 1804 · American · 1h 15m · 41% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 49mSLC 11:18 to XNA 17:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.