tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → San Antonio via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 12:31 ORD
    AA 2614 · American · 4h 27m · 92% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ORD → 17:59 SAT
    AA 4176 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 00m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 59mSFO 06:00 to SAT 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.