tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Austin via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:28 SLC → 17:59 ORD
    AA 2616 · American · 3h 34m · 73% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:03 ORD → 21:59 AUS
    AA 1715 · American · 2h 44m · 61% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 19mSLC 13:28 to AUS 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.