tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:28 SLC → 17:59 ORD
    AA 2616 · American · 3h 34m · 73% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:56 ORD → 21:34 DTW
    AA 4931 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 57% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 05mSLC 13:28 to DTW 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.