tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:14 IAD → 08:35 DFW
    AA 2617 · American · 3h 21m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 DFW → 14:34 JFK
    AA 1766 · American · 3h 44m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 20mIAD 06:14 to JFK 14:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.