tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Santa Ana via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:14 IAD → 08:35 DFW
    AA 2617 · American · 3h 21m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 DFW → 10:52 SNA
    AA 2672 · American · 3h 08m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 34mIAD 06:14 to SNA 10:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.