tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Knoxville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:14 IAD → 08:35 DFW
    AA 2617 · American · 3h 21m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:48 DFW → 12:56 TYS
    AA 2873 · American · 2h 08m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 42mIAD 06:14 to TYS 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.