tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:14 IAD → 08:35 DFW
    AA 2617 · American · 3h 21m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:54 DFW → 11:26 MSY
    AA 2885 · American · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 10mIAD 06:14 to MSY 11:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.