tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Burbank via Sacramento: arrives on time 85%

  1. 10:04 PHX → 12:04 SMF
    AA 2630 · American · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:00 SMF → 17:15 BUR
    WN 3768 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 11mPHX 10:04 to BUR 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.