tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 49%

  1. 11:02 SMF → 16:35 DFW
    AA 2633 · American · 3h 33m · 75% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DFW → 19:11 IAH
    AA 4923 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 71% on time, 8.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (8.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 09mSMF 11:02 to IAH 19:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.