tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 00:59 SFO → 09:31 PHL
    AA 2635 · American · 5h 32m · 82% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHL → 12:55 IND
    AA 5240 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 86% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 56mSFO 00:59 to IND 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.