tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Miami via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 19:15 ONT → 20:36 PHX
    AA 2639 · American · 1h 21m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 PHX → 06:28 MIA +1 day
    AA 2654 · American · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 13mONT 19:15 to MIA 06:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.