tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Portland via Santa Ana: arrives on time 92%

  1. 12:00 ORD → 14:20 SNA
    AA 2640 · American · 4h 20m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:09 SNA → 20:31 PDX
    AS 589 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 31mORD 12:00 to PDX 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.