tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Austin via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:59 JFK → 07:57 CLT
    AA 2643 · American · 1h 58m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:18 CLT → 12:11 AUS
    AA 1419 · American · 2h 52m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 11mJFK 05:59 to AUS 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.