tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Las Vegas via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:59 JFK → 07:57 CLT
    AA 2643 · American · 1h 58m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:26 CLT → 13:06 LAS
    AA 2038 · American · 4h 40m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 07mJFK 05:59 to LAS 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.