tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Charlotte Amalie via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:59 JFK → 07:57 CLT
    AA 2643 · American · 1h 58m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:57 CLT → 13:48 STT
    AA 2432 · American · 3h 51m · 79% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 49mJFK 05:59 to STT 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.