tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:59 JFK → 07:57 CLT
    AA 2643 · American · 1h 58m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 CLT → 11:04 TPA
    AA 2828 · American · 1h 49m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 05mJFK 05:59 to TPA 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.