tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:01 MCI → 06:50 PHX
    AA 2645 · American · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:17 PHX → 17:29 JFK
    AA 2689 · American · 5h 13m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 29mMCI 06:01 to JFK 17:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.