tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:01 MCI → 06:50 PHX
    AA 2645 · American · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 PHX → 11:30 SMF
    WN 781 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 29mMCI 06:01 to SMF 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.