tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:28 MIA
    AA 2654 · American · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL +1 day
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 50mPHX 23:05 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.