tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Newark via Phoenix: arrives on time 59%

  1. 05:20 PDX → 08:00 PHX
    AA 2658 · American · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 PHX → 17:20 EWR
    AA 1997 · American · 5h 00m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip9h 00mPDX 05:20 to EWR 17:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.